Commercial flights have begun. Here's how prices are actually moving.
Register InterestThe wait is officially over. Commercial flight operations officially began on Monday, June 15, 2026, with the arrival of the first scheduled IndiGo flight from Lucknow. For a real estate corridor that has spent five years pricing in this exact moment, the question now is not whether the airport matters, but how much runway is left for buyers who haven't entered yet.
Phase 1 is deliberately modest in scale but strategically massive in intent. In its first phase, the airport has one runway and one passenger terminal with a capacity of 12 million passengers annually, with capacity set to increase up to 30 million passengers annually in the upcoming years. The Noida-Bengaluru route ran at full capacity from day one, and daily services on routes including Hyderabad-Noida-Amritsar started the same week, giving the Yamuna Expressway belt its first taste of operational, not just promised, connectivity.
The price story, though, was written well before the first aircraft landed. According to estimates shared in a Square Yards report, residential apartment prices have nearly tripled between 2020 and 2025, with prices for plots increasing by 1.50 times along the route of the Yamuna Expressway. Anarock data tells a similar story for the wider belt: property prices have already surged 92% in Noida and 98% in Greater Noida between Q1 2020 and Q1 2025. Select micro-markets within the airport's direct catchment moved even faster, with some pockets logging gains well beyond the corridor average.
What happens next is where opinions get interesting. Square Yards projects that the prices of plots are to increase by around 28 per cent and apartments by 22 per cent in the next two years. Property consultancy Colliers is more bullish on the multi-year horizon: average capital values in areas around the airport could grow at a compound annual growth rate of 15-20% over the next four to five years, supported by demand across both mid-income and luxury housing segments. The office market is expected to move in parallel — Noida is expected to record annual office leasing of 2-3 million square feet from 2026 onwards, accounting for nearly a quarter of Delhi-NCR's Grade A office space absorption.
On the ground, land rates near the terminal already reflect this repricing. Authority-fixed rates and prime private zones diverge sharply depending on proximity: the official YEIDA residential scheme rate is fixed at ₹36,260 per sq. mt. in Sectors 15C, 18, and 24A, while prime zones near the terminal and cargo hub command the highest rates at ₹40,000–₹55,000 per sq. mt.
Developers active in Noida are reading the operational launch as a confidence trigger rather than a ceiling. Yash Garg, Director of M3M Noida, notes that while the airport is creating a new economic and investment ecosystem in the region, its impact will extend beyond the immediate vicinity by enhancing overall connectivity, attracting businesses, and boosting employment generation across Noida, with sustained demand from both homebuyers and investors supporting healthy absorption and long-term value appreciation. Gaurav K Singh, Founder and Chairman of Womeki Group, pushes back on correction fears directly: predictions of a broad-based decline in real estate prices due to the operationalisation of Jewar Airport are not supported by the fundamentals of the market, since major infrastructure assets such as international airports typically act as economic growth engines, attracting industries, logistics hubs, commercial investments, and residential demand, and the airport has already accelerated infrastructure development across the Yamuna Expressway region.
Connectivity upgrades are the piece that will decide whether this growth stays orderly. In October 2025, YEIDA had approved a ₹1,700 crore, 25 km eastern-side access road from Greater Noida West near Char Murti to the airport, intended to improve access from Greater Noida West and Ghaziabad. A dedicated metro link is also on the books: a planned Greater Noida–Noida Airport Metro would extend from the existing Noida Aqua Line towards Noida International Airport. Until these are complete, the expressway itself remains the primary access route, which is exactly why land closest to it continues to command the steepest premiums.
For homebuyers, the practical takeaway is that the speculative phase is closing and the operational phase is opening. Prices haven't peaked, but the gap between "pre-flight pricing" and "post-flight pricing" has already narrowed. Anyone evaluating a purchase along the Yamuna Expressway or in Noida's expressway-facing sectors should treat Phase 1's launch as a data point confirming the thesis, not as fresh news to react to — the smart entry window was priced in months, not days, ago.
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